Associations between prognostic index scores and plasma neurofilament light in Huntington's disease
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Introduction: The inclusion of premanifest Huntington's Disease (Pre-HD) subjects in clinical trials necessitates selecting those who are near transition to manifest Huntington's disease (Man-HD). We previously determined that plasma neurofilament light (NfL) levels are significantly correlated with predicted years to Man-HD onset, using established formulae. Recently, a new normalized prognostic index (PIN) score for predicting Pre-HD disease progression has been validated. Our objective was to determine whether plasma NfL levels are similarly associated with PIN score and PIN score-derived years to Man-HD onset (PIN-YTO).

Method: 112 individuals (46 Pre-HD, 66 Man-HD) underwent blood sample collection and clinical assessment, inclusive of the Symbol Digit Modalities Test and Unified Huntington's Disease Rating Scale Total Motor Score. Plasma NfL levels were measured using a Meso Scale Discovery assay.

Results: Pre-HD and Man-HD cohorts differed by age (p < .0001), and CAG repeat number (p = .004), but not education level or gender. Plasma NfL levels were significantly correlated with PIN scores (r = 0.69, p < .0001) and PIN-YTO (r = -0.69, p < .0001). Plasma NfL levels were similarly correlated with predicted years to onset scores determined using Langbehn and colleague's formula (r = -0.68, p < .0001). All significant correlations endured corrections for age and CAG repeat number. A plasma NfL cut-point of <45.0 pg/ml distinguished Pre-HD participants >10 predicted years from Man-HD onset, compared to those ≤10 predicted years.

Conclusions: We have extensively shown that plasma NfL levels are associated with predicted years to manifest HD onset in Pre-HD participants, and present a plasma NfL cut-point that may help exclude far-from-onset Pre-HD patients from clinical trials.

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